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Data and Associated Code for Projections of Unimpaired Flows, Storage, and Managed Flows for Climate Change Scenarios in the San Francisco Bay-Delta Watershed, California

August 27, 2021

This data release includes data containing projections of unimpaired hydrology, reservoir storage, and downstream managed flows in the Sacramento River/San Joaquin River watershed under scenarios of future climate change generated for the CASCaDE2 project (Computational Assessments of Scenarios of Change for the Delta Ecosystem, phase 2). Code used to produce the data is also included. The dataset is produced using a multiple-model approach. First, downscaled global climate model outputs are used to drive an existing Variable Infiltration Capacity/Variable Infiltration Capacity Routing (VIC/RVIC) model of Sacramento/San Joaquin hydrology, resulting in projections of daily, unimpaired flows throughout the watershed. A management model, CASCaDE2-modified CalSim (C2-CalSim), uses these projections as inputs and produces monthly estimates of reservoir and other infrastructure operations and resulting downstream managed flows. A historical resampling algorithm, CASCaDE2 resampling algorithm (CRESPI), also uses the projected daily unimpaired flows, along with historical managed flows, to estimate the daily variability in managed flows throughout the watershed. The monthly and daily managed-flow estimates are combined in a way that preserves the multi-decadal variability and century-scale trends produced by the C2-CalSim model and the day-to-day variability produced by the CRESPI algorithm. The resulting data are analyzed and processed to produce tables, figures, and text for the associated publications. To reduce the archive's size, data from a given step in the analyis that are not used in a subsequent step have not been included in this release. All code generated by the USGS to produce the data is included in this release. This includes all code to download and preprocess external data; code to set up and control the RVIC model runs; code to modify, set up, and control runs of the CalSim 2 model; all code for the CRESPI algorithm; all code to postprocess and analyze model outputs; and all code needed to produce published figures, tables and text that includes calculated values. A detailed README file is included with instructions for running the code, including how to obtain the external RVIC and CalSim 2 models.

Publication Year 2021
Title Data and Associated Code for Projections of Unimpaired Flows, Storage, and Managed Flows for Climate Change Scenarios in the San Francisco Bay-Delta Watershed, California
DOI 10.5066/P9BMMUEV
Authors Noah Knowles, Collin Cronkite-Ratcliff, D.W. Pierce, D.R. Cayan
Product Type Data Release
Record Source USGS Digital Object Identifier Catalog
USGS Organization Water Resources Mission Area - Headquarters