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Reexamining fire suppression impacts on brushland fire regimes

January 1, 1999

California shrubland wildfires are increasingly destructive, and it is widely held that the problem has been intensified by fire suppression, leading to larger, more intense wildfires. However, analysis of the California Statewide Fire History Database shows that, since 1910, fire frequency and area burned have not declined, and fire size has not increased. Fire rotation intervals have declined, and fire season has not changed, implying that fire intensity has not increased. Fire frequency and population density were correlated, and it is suggested that fire suppression plays a critical role in offsetting potential impacts of increased ignitions. Large fires were not dependent on old age classes of fuels, and it is thus unlikely that age class manipulation of fuels can prevent large fires. Expansion of the urban-wildland interface is a key factor in wildland fire destruction.

Publication Year 1999
Title Reexamining fire suppression impacts on brushland fire regimes
DOI 10.1126/science.284.5421.1829
Authors Jon E. Keeley, C. J. Fotheringham, Marco Morais
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Science
Index ID 1008151
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Western Ecological Research Center