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Fault displacement hazard for strike-slip faults

In this paper we summarize data, methods, and models developed for a probabilistic assessment of fault displacement hazards across the U.S. We compare earthquake displacement data and empirical fault displacement models that have been developed for normal faults, strike-slip faults, and reverse faults. In general, the data and models are similar near the center of the fault for the three faulting
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Rui Chen

Preliminary 2018 national seismic hazard model for the conterminous United States

The 2014 U.S. Geological Survey national seismic hazard model for the conterminous U.S. will be updated in 2018 and 2020 to coincide with the Building Seismic Safety Council’s Project 17 timeline for development of new building code design criteria. The two closely timed updates are planned to allow more time for the Provisions Update Committee to analyze the consequences of the hazard model chang
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles Mueller, Sanaz Rezaeian, Morgan P. Moschetti, Daniel E. McNamara, Eric M. Thompson, Oliver S. Boyd, Nicolas Luco, Susan M. Hoover, Kenneth S. Rukstales

Quantifying the effect of beating inferred from recorded responses of tall buildings

The beating phenomenon observed in recorded earthquake responses of a tall building in Japan and of two others buildings in the U.S. are examined in this paper. The objective of the paper is to discuss the significance of beating and to estimate what percentage of total shaking energy impacting a building is contributed by beating when it occurs. Beating is prominent in the prolonged resonant resp
Authors
Mehmet Çelebi

Validating ground-motion simulations on rough faults in complex 3D media

We utilize a two-step process to validate 0-4 Hz ground motion simulations using the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. In the first step we run multiple realizations using the Graves and Pitarka hybrid method as implemented on the SCEC Broadband Simulation Platform and compare these with near-fault (R < 40 km) recorded motions. A total of 648 rupture scenarios are examined and from these results we s
Authors
Robert Graves, Arben Pitarka

On the potential duration of the aftershock sequence of the 2018 Anchorage earthquake

Currently, an aftershock sequence is ongoing in Alaska after the magnitude 7.0 Anchorage earthquake of November 30, 2018. Using two scenarios, determined with observations as of December 14, 2018, this report estimates that it will take between 2.5 years and 3 decades before the rate of aftershocks decays to the rate of earthquakes that were occurring in this area before the magnitude 7.0 mainshoc
Authors
Andrew J. Michael

Earthquakes induced by hydraulic fracturing are pervasive in Oklahoma

Wastewater disposal is generally accepted to be the primary cause of the increased seismicity rate in Oklahoma within the past decade, but no statewide analysis has investigated the contribution of hydraulic fracturing (HF) to the observed seismicity or the seismic hazard. Utilizing an enhanced seismicity catalog generated with multi‐station template matching from 2010‐2016 and all available hydra
Authors
Robert J. Skoumal, Rosamiel Ries, Michael R. Brudzinski, Andrew J. Barbour, Brian S. Currie

Microseismic events associated with the Oroville Dam spillway

On 14 February 2017, two small (equivalent MD 0.8 and 1.0) seismic events occurred in proximity to the Oroville Dam in the Sierra Nevada foothills, California. To examine possible causal relationships between these events and reservoir operations, including the spillway failure starting prior to these events, we applied a new optimized template matching approach to seismic data between May 1993 -
Authors
Robert J. Skoumal, Phillip B. Dawson, Stephen H. Hickman, J. Ole Kaven

Seismology with dark data: Image-based processing of analog records using machine learning for the rangely earthquake control experiment

Before the digital era, seismograms were recorded in analog form and read manually by analysts. The digital era represents only about 25% of the total time span of instrumental seismology. Analog data provide important constraints on earthquake processes over the long term, and in some cases are the only data available. The media on which analog data are recorded degrades with time and there is an
Authors
Kaiwen Wang, William L. Ellsworth, Gregory C. Beroza, Gordon Williams, Miao Zhang, Dustin Schroeder, Justin L. Rubinstein

Updated California aftershock parameters

Reasenberg and Jones (1989) introduced a statistical model for aftershock rate following a mainshock along with estimates of “generic” California parameter values based on past aftershock sequences. The Reasenberg and Jones (1989) model has been used for decades to issue aftershock forecasts following M≥5 mainshocks in California. Here, we update the “generic” parameters for California through a f
Authors
Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst

Role of fault gouge during Interaction between hydraulic fracture and a preexisting fracture

Enhanced reservoir connectivity generally requires maximizing the intersection between hydraulic fracture (HF) and preexisting underground natural fractures (NF), while having the hydraulic fracture continue to propagate across the natural fractures. Observations of downhole core samples suggest that these natural fractures are in fact veins filled with minerals such as calcite (Mighani et al., 20
Authors
S. Mighani, David A. Lockner, Brian D. Kilgore, Brian Evans

Serpentinite‐rich gouge in a creeping segment of the Bartlett Springs Fault, northern California: Comparison with SAFOD and implications for seismic hazard

An exposure of a creeping segment of the Bartlett Springs Fault (BSF), part of the San Andreas Fault system in northern California, is a ~1.5‐m‐wide zone of serpentinite‐bearing fault gouge cutting through Late Pleistocene fluvial deposits. The fault gouge consists of porphyroclasts of antigorite serpentinite, talc, chlorite, and tremolite‐actinolite, along with some Franciscan metamorphic rocks,
Authors
Diane E. Moore, Robert J. McLaughlin, James J. Lienkaemper

Inhibition of grain boundary sliding creep in fine-grained ice by inter-granular particles: Implications for planetary ice masses

Ice in both terrestrial and planetary settings often contains rock particles. Here we present an experimental investigation of the influence of intergranular particles on the rheological behavior of ice. Experiments were performed on samples fabricated from 10‐μm ice powders +1‐μm graphite or 0.8‐μm alumina particles and subjected to elevated confining pressures. A critical particle fraction, ∼6%,
Authors
Chao Qi, Laura A. Stern, Asmin Pathare, William B. Durham, David L. Goldsby