Publications
Listed here are publications, reports and articles by the Climate R&D program.
Filter Total Items: 1020
Drought resistance and resilience: The role of soil moisture–plant interactions and legacies in a dryland ecosystem
In many regions of the world, climate change is projected to reduce water availability through changes in the hydrological cycle, including more frequent and intense droughts, as well as seasonal shifts in precipitation. In water-limited ecosystems, such as drylands, lower soil water availability may exceed the adaptive capacity of many organisms, leading to cascading ecological effects during (co
Authors
Dave Hoover, Alix A. Pfennigwerth, Michael C. Duniway
A stable isotope record of late Quaternary hydrologic change in the northwestern Brooks Range, Alaska (eastern Beringia)
A submillennial-resolution record of lake water oxygen isotope composition (δ18O) from chironomid head capsules is presented from Burial Lake, northwest Alaska. The record spans the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; ~20–16k cal a bp) to the present and shows a series of large lake δ18O shifts (~5‰). Relatively low δ18O values occurred during a period covering the LGM, when the lake was a shallow, closed-
Authors
Amanda L. King, Lesleigh Anderson, Mark B. Abbott, Mary Edwards, Matthew S. Finkenbinder, Bruce P. Finney, Matthew Wooller
Shallow marine ecosystem collapse and recovery during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), the most well-studied transient hyperthermal event in Earth history, is characterized by prominent and dynamic changes in global marine ecosystems. Understanding such biotic responses provides valuable insights into future scenarios in the face of anthropogenic warming. However, evidence of the PETM biotic responses is largely biased towards deep-sea re
Authors
Skye Y Tian, Moriaki Yasuhara, Huai-Hsuan M Huang, Fabien L. Condamine, Marci M. Robinson
Forest resistance to extended drought enhanced by prescribed fire in low elevation forests of the Sierra Nevada
Prescribed fire reduces fire hazards by removing dead and live fuels (small trees and shrubs). Reductions in forest density following prescribed fire treatments (often in concert with mechanical treatments) may also lessen competition so that residual trees might be more likely to survive when confronted with additional stressors, such as drought. The current evidence for these effects is mixed an
Authors
Phillip J. van Mantgem, Anthony C. Caprio, Nathan L. Stephenson, Adrian Das
A protocol for modelling generalised biological responses using latent variables in structural equation models
In this paper we consider the problem of how to quantitatively characterize the degree to which a study object exhibits a generalized response. By generalized response, we mean a multivariate response where numerous individual properties change in concerted fashion due to some internal integration. In latent variable structural equation modeling (LVSEM), we would typically approach this situation
Authors
James B. Grace, Magdalena Steiner
Instrumental variable methods in structural equation models
Instrumental variable regression (RegIV) provides a means for detecting and correcting parameter bias in causal models. Widely used in economics, recently several papers have highlighted its potential utility for ecological applications. Little attention has thus far been paid to the fact that IV methods can also be implemented within structural equation models (SEMIV). In this paper I present the
Authors
James Grace
Watershed and estuarine controls both influence plant community and tree growth changes in tidal freshwater forested wetlands along two U.S. mid-Atlantic rivers
The tidal freshwater zone near the estuarine head-of-tide is potentially sensitive to both sea-level rise and associated salinity increases as well as changing watershed inputs of freshwater and nutrients. We evaluated the vegetation response of tidal freshwater forested wetlands (TFFW) to changes in nontidal river versus estuarine controls along the longitudinal gradient of the Mattaponi and Pamu
Authors
Gregory Noe, Norman A Bourg, Ken Krauss, Jamie A. Duberstein, Cliff R. Hupp
Spatiotemporal dynamics of CO2 gas exchange from headwater mountain streams
Mountain streams play an important role in the global carbon cycle by transporting, metabolizing, and exchanging carbon they receive from the terrestrial environment. The rates at which these processes occur remain highly uncertain because of a paucity of observations and the difficulty of measuring gas exchange rates in steep, turbulent mountain streams. This uncertainty is compounded by large te
Authors
David W. Clow, Robert G. Striegl, Mark Dornblaser
Nonlinear shifts in infectious rust disease due to climate change
Range shifts of infectious plant disease are expected under climate change. As plant diseases move, emergent abiotic-biotic interactions are predicted to modify their distributions, leading to unexpected changes in disease risk. Evidence of these complex range shifts due to climate change, however, remains largely speculative. Here, we combine a long-term study of the infectious tree disease, whit
Authors
Joan Dudney, Claire Willing, Adrian Das, Andrew M. Latimer, Jonathan C B Nesmith, John J. Battles
The Holocene dynamics of Ryder Glacier and ice tongue in north Greenland
The northern sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet is considered to be particularly susceptible to ice mass loss arising from increased glacier discharge in the coming decades. However, the past extent and dynamics of outlet glaciers in this region, and hence their vulnerability to climate change, are poorly documented. In the summer of 2019, the Swedish icebreaker Oden entered the previously uncharte
Authors
Matt O'Regan, Thomas M. Cronin, Brendan Reilly, Aage K. Olsen Alstrup, Laura Gemery, Anna Golub, Larry A. Mayer, Mathieu Morlighem, Matthias Moros, Ole L. Munk, Johan Nilsson, Christof Pearce, Henrieka Detlef, Christian Stranne, Flor Vermassen, Gabriel West, Martin Jakobsson
Mg/Ca ratios in ostracode genera Sarsicytheridea and Paracyprideis: A potential paleotemperature proxy for Arctic and subarctic continental shelf and slope waters
We evaluate the potential utility of Mg/Ca ratios in the sublittoral ostracode genera Sarsicytheridea and Paracyprideis as a paleotemperature proxy for continental shelf and upper slope waters of the Arctic Ocean and adjacent seas. Using sediment core-top and surface sediment samples, the shells of three species, S. bradii, S. punctillata, and P. pseudopunctillata, were analyzed from Arctic Ocean
Authors
Thomas M. Cronin, Gary S. Dwyer, Katherine Keller, Laura Gemery, Jesse R. Farmer
Arctic Ocean stratification set by sea level and freshwater inputs since the last ice age
Salinity-driven density stratification of the upper Arctic Ocean isolates sea-ice cover and cold, nutrient-poor surface waters from underlying warmer, nutrient-rich waters. Recently, stratification has strengthened in the western Arctic but has weakened in the eastern Arctic; it is unknown if these trends will continue. Here we present foraminifera-bound nitrogen isotopes from Arctic Ocean sedimen
Authors
Jesse R. Farmer, Daniel Sigman, Julie Granger, Ona M. Underwood, Francois Frapiat, Thomas M. Cronin, Alfredo Martínez-García, Gerald H. Haug