Publications
Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.
Filter Total Items: 562
Processes contributing to resilience of coastal wetlands to sea-level rise
The objectives of this study were to identify processes that contribute to resilience of coastal wetlands subject to rising sea levels and to determine whether the relative contribution of these processes varies across different wetland community types. We assessed the resilience of wetlands to sea-level rise along a transitional gradient from tidal freshwater forested wetland (TFFW) to marsh by m
Authors
Camille L. Stagg, Ken W. Krauss, Donald R. Cahoon, Nicole Cormier, William H. Conner, Christopher M. Swarzenski
The intertropical convergence zone modulates intense hurricane strikes on the western North Atlantic margin
Most Atlantic hurricanes form in the Main Development Region between 9°N to 20°N along the northern edge of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Previous research has suggested that meridional shifts in the ITCZ position on geologic timescales can modulate hurricane activity, but continuous and long-term storm records are needed from multiple sites to assess this hypothesis. Here we present
Authors
Peter J. van Hengstrum, Jeffrey P. Donnelly, Patricia L. Fall, Michael Toomey, Nancy A. Albury, Brian Kakuk
Regional differences in upland forest to developed (urban) land cover conversions in the conterminous U.S., 1973–2011
In this U.S. Geological Survey study of forest land cover across the conterminous U.S. (CONUS), specific proportions and rates of forest conversion to developed (urban) land were assessed on an ecoregional basis. The study period was divided into six time intervals between 1973 and 2011. Forest land cover was the source of 40% or more of the new urban land in 35 of the 84 ecoregions located within
Authors
Roger F. Auch, Mark A. Drummond, George Z. Xian, Kristi Sayler, William Acevedo, Janis Taylor
A synthesis of the basal thermal state of the Greenland Ice Sheet
The basal thermal state of an ice sheet (frozen or thawed) is an important control upon its evolution, dynamics and response to external forcings. However, this state can only be observed directly within sparse boreholes or inferred conclusively from the presence of subglacial lakes. Here we synthesize spatially extensive inferences of the basal thermal state of the Greenland Ice Sheet to better c
Authors
Joseph A MacGregor, Mark A Fahnestock, Ginny A Catania, Andy Aschwanden, Gary D. Clow, William T. Colgan, Prasad S. Gogineni, Mathieu Morlighem, Sophie M .J. Nowicki, John D Paden, Stephen F. Price, Helene Seroussi
Historical baselines and the future of shell calcification for a foundation species in a changing ocean
Seawater pH and the availability of carbonate ions are decreasing due to anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions, posing challenges for calcifying marine species. Marine mussels are of particular concern given their role as foundation species worldwide. Here, we document shell growth and calcification patterns in Mytilus californianus, the California mussel, over millennial and decadal scales. By c
Authors
Catherine A. Pfister, Kaustuv Roy, Timothy J. Wootton, Sophie J. McCoy, Robert T. Paine, Tom Suchanek, Eric Sanford
Baseline and projected future carbon storage and greenhouse-gas fluxes in ecosystems of Alaska
This assessment was conducted to fulfill the requirements of section 712 of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 and to contribute to knowledge of the storage, fluxes, and balance of carbon and methane gas in ecosystems of Alaska. The carbon and methane variables were examined for major terrestrial ecosystems (uplands and wetlands) and inland aquatic ecosystems in Alaska in two time pe
Cenozoic sea level and the rise of modern rimmed atolls
Sea-level records from atolls, potentially spanning the Cenozoic, have been largely overlooked, in part because the processes that control atoll form (reef accretion, carbonate dissolution, sediment transport, vertical motion) are complex and, for many islands, unconstrained on million-year timescales. Here we combine existing observations of atoll morphology and corelog stratigraphy from Enewetak
Authors
Michael Toomey, Andrew Ashton, Maureen E. Raymo, J. Taylor Perron
One thousand years of fires: Integrating proxy and model data
The current fires raging across Indonesia are emitting more carbon than the annual fossil fuel emissions of Germany or Japan, and the fires are still consuming vast tracts of rainforest and peatlands. The National Interagency Fire Center (www.nifc.gov) notes that 2015 is one worst fire years on record in the U.S., where more than 9 million acres burned -- equivalent to the combined size of Massach
Authors
Natalie M. Kehrwald, Julie C. Aleman, Michael Coughlan, Colin J. Courtney Mustaphi, Esther N. Githumbi, Brian I. Magi, Jennifer R. Marlon, Mitchell J. Power
Methane and sulfate dynamics in sediments from mangrove-dominated tropical coastal lagoons, Yucatan, Mexico
Porewater profiles in sediment cores from mangrove-dominated coastal lagoons (Celestún and Chelem) on the Yucatán Peninsula, Mexico, reveal the widespread coexistence of dissolved methane and sulfate. This observation is interesting since dissolved methane in porewaters is typically oxidized anaerobically by sulfate. To explain the observations we used a numerical transport-reaction model that was
Authors
P. C. Chuang, Megan B. Young, Andrew W. Dale, Laurence G. Miller, Jorge A. Herrera-Silveira, Adina Paytan
Component greenhouse gas fluxes and radiative balance from two deltaic marshes in Louisiana: Pairing chamber techniques and eddy covariance
Coastal marshes take up atmospheric CO2 while emitting CO2, CH4, and N2O. This ability to sequester carbon (C) is much greater for wetlands on a per-area basis than from most ecosystems, facilitating scientific, political, and economic interest in their value as greenhouse gas sinks. However, the greenhouse gas balance of Gulf of Mexico wetlands is particularly understudied. We describe the net ec
Authors
Ken W. Krauss, Guerry O. Holm, Brian C. Perez, David E. McWhorter, Nicole Cormier, Rebecca Moss, Darren Johnson, Scott C Neubauer, Richard C Raynie
Hydrologic exchanges and baldcypress water use on deltaic hummocks, Louisiana, USA
Coastal forested hummocks support clusters of trees in the saltwater–freshwater transition zone. To examine how hummocks support trees in mesohaline sites that are beyond physiological limits of the trees, we used salinity and stable isotopes (2H and 18O) of water as tracers to understand water fluxes in hummocks and uptake by baldcypress (Taxodium distichum (L.) Rich.), which is the most abundant
Authors
Yu-Hsin Hsueh, Jim L. Chambers, Ken W. Krauss, Scott T. Allen, Richard F. Keim
Potential effects of sea-level rise on plant productivity: Species-specific responses in northeast Pacific tidal marshes
Coastal wetland plants are adapted to varying degrees of inundation. However, functional relationships between inundation and productivity are poorly characterized for most species. Determining species-specific tolerances to inundation is necessary to evaluate sea-level rise (SLR) effects on future marsh plant community composition, quantify organic matter inputs to marsh accretion, and inform pre
Authors
Christopher Janousek, Kevin Buffington, Karen M. Thorne, Glenn R. Guntenspergen, John Y. Takekawa, Bruce D. Dugger