Lucas Bair
Lucas Bair is an economist with the Southwest Biological Science Center.
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 21
Safety in numbers: Cost-effective endangered species management for viable populations
We develop a bioeconomic model to identify the cost-effective control of an invasive species (rain-bow trout) to achieve a population viability goal for an endangered species (humpback chub) in the Grand Canyon of the U.S. southwest. The population viability optimization problem is no-toriously difficult to solve due to a probabilistic restriction on joint outcomes (survival) over many periods. We
Authors
Pierce Donovan, Lucas S. Bair, Charles B. Yackulic, Michael R. Springborn
Incorporating social-ecological considerations into basin-wide responses to climate change in the Colorado River Basin
During the last 50 years, construction of dams in the western United States declined. This is partly because of increasing recognition of diverse and unintended social-ecological consequences of dams. Today, resource managers are recognizing the wide array of tradeoffs and are including a more diverse group of stakeholders in decision making for individual dams. Yet decisions at the regional scale
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, Charles B. Yackulic, John C. Schmidt, Denielle M. Perry, Christine J. Kirchhoff, Karletta Chief, Benedict J. Colombi
Effects of high-flow experiments on other resources: Recreation and hydropower
Glen Canyon National Recreation Area (GCNRA) and Grand Canyon National Park (GCNP) offer unique recreational opportunities. An objective in the Long-Term Experimental and Management Plan Environmental Impact Statement (LTEMP EIS) is to maintain and improve the quality of recreational experiences (U.S. Department of the Interior, 2016). Some of the higher valued recreational activities include day-
Authors
Lucas S. Bair
Brown trout in the Lees Ferry reach of the Colorado River—Evaluation of causal hypotheses and potential interventions
Over the period 2014–2016, the number of nonnative brown trout (Salmo trutta) captured during routine monitoring in the Lees Ferry reach of the Colorado River, downstream of Glen Canyon Dam, began increasing. Management agencies and stakeholders have questioned whether the increase in brown trout in the Lees Ferry reach represents a threat to the endangered humpback chub (Gila cypha), to the rainb
Authors
Michael C. Runge, Charles B. Yackulic, Lucas S. Bair, Theodore A. Kennedy, Richard A. Valdez, Craig Ellsworth, Jeffrey L. Kershner, R. Scott Rogers, Melissa A. Trammell, Kirk L. Young
Convergent validity between willingness to pay elicitation methods: An application to Grand Canyon whitewater boaters
We directly compare trip willingness to pay (WTP) values between dichotomous choice contingent valuation (DCCV) and discrete choice experiment (DCE) stated preference surveys of private party Grand Canyon whitewater boaters. The consistency of DCCV and DCE estimates is debated in the literature, and this study contributes to the body of work comparing the methods. Comparisons were made of mean WTP
Authors
Christopher Neher, Lucas S. Bair, John Duffield, David A. Patterson, Katherine Neher
Identifying cost-effective invasive species control to enhance endangered species populations in the Grand Canyon, USA
Recovering endangered species populations when confronted with the threat of invasive species is an ongoing natural resource management challenge. While eradication of the invasive species is often the optimal economic solution, it may not be a feasible nor desirable management action in other cases. For example, when invasive species are desired in one area, but disperse into areas managed for en
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, Charles B. Yackulic, Michael R. Springborn, Matthew N. Reimer, Craig A. Bond, Lewis G. Coggins
Scientific monitoring plan in support of the selected alternative of the Glen Canyon Dam Long-Term Experimental and Management Plan
IntroductionThe purpose of this document is to describe a strategy by which monitoring and research data in the natural and social sciences will be collected, analyzed, and provided to the U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI), its bureaus, and to the Glen Canyon Dam Adaptive Management Program (GCDAMP) in support of implementation of the Glen Canyon Dam Long-Term Experimental and Management Plan
Authors
Scott P. Vanderkooi, Theodore A. Kennedy, David J. Topping, Paul E. Grams, David L. Ward, Helen C. Fairley, Lucas S. Bair, Joel B. Sankey, Charles B. Yackulic, John C. Schmidt
Testing the limits of temporal stability: Willingness to pay values among Grand Canyon whitewater boaters across decades
We directly compare trip willingness to pay (WTP) values between 1985 and 2015 stated preference surveys of private party Grand Canyon boaters using identically designed valuation methods. The temporal gap of 30 years between these two studies is well beyond that of any tests of WTP temporal stability in the literature. Comparisons were made of mean WTP estimates for four hypothetical Colorado Riv
Authors
Chris J. Neher, John Duffield, Lucas S. Bair, David A. Patterson, Katherine Neher
Economic value of angling on the Colorado River at Lees Ferry: Using secondary data to estimate the influence of seasonality
Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) on the Colorado River in northern Arizona provides water storage, flood control, and power system benefits to approximately 40 million people who rely on water and energy resources in the Colorado River basin. Downstream resources (e.g., angling, whitewater floating) in Glen Canyon National Recreation Area (GCNRA) and Grand Canyon National Park are impacted by the operation o
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, David L. Rogowski, Christopher Neher
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 21
Safety in numbers: Cost-effective endangered species management for viable populations
We develop a bioeconomic model to identify the cost-effective control of an invasive species (rain-bow trout) to achieve a population viability goal for an endangered species (humpback chub) in the Grand Canyon of the U.S. southwest. The population viability optimization problem is no-toriously difficult to solve due to a probabilistic restriction on joint outcomes (survival) over many periods. We
Authors
Pierce Donovan, Lucas S. Bair, Charles B. Yackulic, Michael R. Springborn
Incorporating social-ecological considerations into basin-wide responses to climate change in the Colorado River Basin
During the last 50 years, construction of dams in the western United States declined. This is partly because of increasing recognition of diverse and unintended social-ecological consequences of dams. Today, resource managers are recognizing the wide array of tradeoffs and are including a more diverse group of stakeholders in decision making for individual dams. Yet decisions at the regional scale
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, Charles B. Yackulic, John C. Schmidt, Denielle M. Perry, Christine J. Kirchhoff, Karletta Chief, Benedict J. Colombi
Effects of high-flow experiments on other resources: Recreation and hydropower
Glen Canyon National Recreation Area (GCNRA) and Grand Canyon National Park (GCNP) offer unique recreational opportunities. An objective in the Long-Term Experimental and Management Plan Environmental Impact Statement (LTEMP EIS) is to maintain and improve the quality of recreational experiences (U.S. Department of the Interior, 2016). Some of the higher valued recreational activities include day-
Authors
Lucas S. Bair
Brown trout in the Lees Ferry reach of the Colorado River—Evaluation of causal hypotheses and potential interventions
Over the period 2014–2016, the number of nonnative brown trout (Salmo trutta) captured during routine monitoring in the Lees Ferry reach of the Colorado River, downstream of Glen Canyon Dam, began increasing. Management agencies and stakeholders have questioned whether the increase in brown trout in the Lees Ferry reach represents a threat to the endangered humpback chub (Gila cypha), to the rainb
Authors
Michael C. Runge, Charles B. Yackulic, Lucas S. Bair, Theodore A. Kennedy, Richard A. Valdez, Craig Ellsworth, Jeffrey L. Kershner, R. Scott Rogers, Melissa A. Trammell, Kirk L. Young
Convergent validity between willingness to pay elicitation methods: An application to Grand Canyon whitewater boaters
We directly compare trip willingness to pay (WTP) values between dichotomous choice contingent valuation (DCCV) and discrete choice experiment (DCE) stated preference surveys of private party Grand Canyon whitewater boaters. The consistency of DCCV and DCE estimates is debated in the literature, and this study contributes to the body of work comparing the methods. Comparisons were made of mean WTP
Authors
Christopher Neher, Lucas S. Bair, John Duffield, David A. Patterson, Katherine Neher
Identifying cost-effective invasive species control to enhance endangered species populations in the Grand Canyon, USA
Recovering endangered species populations when confronted with the threat of invasive species is an ongoing natural resource management challenge. While eradication of the invasive species is often the optimal economic solution, it may not be a feasible nor desirable management action in other cases. For example, when invasive species are desired in one area, but disperse into areas managed for en
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, Charles B. Yackulic, Michael R. Springborn, Matthew N. Reimer, Craig A. Bond, Lewis G. Coggins
Scientific monitoring plan in support of the selected alternative of the Glen Canyon Dam Long-Term Experimental and Management Plan
IntroductionThe purpose of this document is to describe a strategy by which monitoring and research data in the natural and social sciences will be collected, analyzed, and provided to the U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI), its bureaus, and to the Glen Canyon Dam Adaptive Management Program (GCDAMP) in support of implementation of the Glen Canyon Dam Long-Term Experimental and Management Plan
Authors
Scott P. Vanderkooi, Theodore A. Kennedy, David J. Topping, Paul E. Grams, David L. Ward, Helen C. Fairley, Lucas S. Bair, Joel B. Sankey, Charles B. Yackulic, John C. Schmidt
Testing the limits of temporal stability: Willingness to pay values among Grand Canyon whitewater boaters across decades
We directly compare trip willingness to pay (WTP) values between 1985 and 2015 stated preference surveys of private party Grand Canyon boaters using identically designed valuation methods. The temporal gap of 30 years between these two studies is well beyond that of any tests of WTP temporal stability in the literature. Comparisons were made of mean WTP estimates for four hypothetical Colorado Riv
Authors
Chris J. Neher, John Duffield, Lucas S. Bair, David A. Patterson, Katherine Neher
Economic value of angling on the Colorado River at Lees Ferry: Using secondary data to estimate the influence of seasonality
Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) on the Colorado River in northern Arizona provides water storage, flood control, and power system benefits to approximately 40 million people who rely on water and energy resources in the Colorado River basin. Downstream resources (e.g., angling, whitewater floating) in Glen Canyon National Recreation Area (GCNRA) and Grand Canyon National Park are impacted by the operation o
Authors
Lucas S. Bair, David L. Rogowski, Christopher Neher