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2013 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast

September 3, 2013

The Gulf of Mexico annual summer hypoxia forecasts are based on average May total nitrogen loads from the Mississippi River basin for that year. The load estimate, recently released by USGS, is 7,316 metric tons per day. Based on that estimate, we predict the area of this summer’s hypoxic zone to be 18,900 square kilometers (95% credible interval, 13,400 to 24,200), the 7th largest reported and about the size of New Jersey. Our forecast hypoxic volume is 74.5 km3 (95% credible interval, 51.5 to 97.0), also the 7th largest on record.

Publication Year 2013
Title 2013 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast
Authors Donald Scavia, Mary Anne Evans, Dan Obenour
Publication Type Report
Publication Subtype Other Government Series
Index ID 70046867
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse