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Deaggregation of probabilistic ground motions in the central and eastern United States

January 1, 1999

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) is a technique for estimating the annual rate of exceedance of a specified ground motion at a site due to known and suspected earthquake sources. The relative contributions of the various sources to the total seismic hazard are determined as a function of their occurrence rates and their ground-motion potential. The separation of the exceedance contributions into bins whose base dimensions are magnitude and distance is called deaggregation. We have deaggregated the hazard analyses for the new USGS national probabilistic ground-motion hazard maps (Frankel et al., 1996). For points on a 0.2° grid in the central and eastern United States (CEUS), we show color maps of the geographical variation of mean and modal magnitudes (M, Mˇ) and distances (D, Dˇ) for ground motions having a 2% chance of exceedance in 50 years. These maps are displayed for peak horizontal acceleration and for spectral response accelerations of 0.2, 0.3, and 1.0 sec. We tabulate M, D, Mˇ, and Dˇ for 49 CEUS cities for 0.2- and 1.0-sec response. Thus, these maps and tables are PSHA-derived estimates of the potential earthquakes that dominate seismic hazard at short and intermediate periods in the CEUS.

Publication Year 1999
Title Deaggregation of probabilistic ground motions in the central and eastern United States
DOI 10.1785/BSSA0890010001
Authors S. Harmsen, D. Perkins, A. Frankel
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Index ID 70021911
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse