Red knot stopover population size and migration ecology at Delaware Bay, USA, 2021

Red Knots (Calidris canutus rufa) stop at Delaware Bay during northward migration to feed on eggs of horseshoe crabs (Limulus polyphemus). The northward migration of C. c. rufa coincides with the spawning of horseshoe crabs whose eggs are the perfect food for a migrating Red Knot (Karpanty et al. 2006, Haramis et al. 2007). Horseshoe crabs are therefore an important food resource for Red Knots as well as other shorebirds at Delaware Bay.

Horseshoe crabs have been harvested since at least 1990 for use as bait in American eel (Anguilla rostrata) and whelk (Busycon) fisheries (Kreamer and Michels 2009). In the late 1990s and early 2000s the number of Red Knots found at Delaware Bay declined dramatically from ~50,000 to ~13,000 (Niles et al. 2008). At the same time the number of horseshoe crabs harvested also declined and avian conservation biologists hypothesized that unregulated harvest of horseshoe crabs from Delaware Bay in the 1990s prevented sufficient refueling during stopover for successful migration to the breeding grounds, nesting, and survival for the remainder of the annual cycle (McGowan et al. 2011).

The harvest of horseshoe crabs in the Delaware Bay region has been managed by the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission (ASMFC) since 2012 using an Adaptive Resource Management (ARM) framework (McGowan et al. 2015b). The ARM framework was designed to constrain the harvest so that number of spawning crabs would not limit the number of Red Knots stopping at Delaware Bay during migration. This management framework to achieve multiple objectives requires an estimate each year of both the crab population and the Red Knot stopover population size to inform harvest recommendations (McGowan et al. 2015a). We have estimated the stopover population size using mark-resight data on individually-marked birds and a Jolly-Seber model for open populations since 2011.