Estimator selection for closed-population capture: recapture
For valid statistical inference, it is important to select an appropriate statistical model. In the analysis of capture-recapture data under the closed-population models of Otis et al. (1978), information theoretic and hypothesis testing approaches to model selection are not practical, because some of the models have likelihoods with nonidenti- fiable parameters. A further problem is that, for some of the Otis et al. models, multiple estimators exist but there is no objective basis for deciding which estimator to use for a particular dataset. In CAPTURE, a computer program for estimating parameters un- der the closed models of Otis et al., a linear discriminant classifier is used to select an appropriate model. This classifier frequently selects the incorrect generating model in simulation studies, and it provides no guidance on which estimator to use once a model has been selected. In this study, we develop new classifiers for selecting the best esti- mator (as opposed to the generating model) and evaluate their performance. In addition, we investigate an estimator averaging approach to estimation that is a modification of the model averaging approach described by Buckland et al. (1997). We found that, in general, the overall performance of the new classifiers was unimpressive. In contrast, the estimator averaging approach we investigated performed well.
Citation Information
Publication Year | 1998 |
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Title | Estimator selection for closed-population capture: recapture |
DOI | 10.2307/1400647 |
Authors | Thomas R. Stanley, Kenneth P. Burnham |
Publication Type | Article |
Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
Series Title | Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics |
Index ID | 70175703 |
Record Source | USGS Publications Warehouse |
USGS Organization | Fort Collins Science Center |