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Valid debris-flow models must avoid hot starts

Debris-flow experiments and models commonly use “hot-start” initial conditions in which downslope motion begins when a large force imbalance is abruptly imposed. By contrast, initiation of natural debris flows almost invariably results from small perturbations of static force balances that apply to debris masses poised in steep channels or on steep slopes. Models that neglect these static balanc
Authors
Richard M. Iverson, David L. George

A process-based model of pre-eruption seismicity patterns and its use for eruption forecasting at dormant stratovolcanoes

Using long-term data sets, the eruptive size, timing and style can typically be successfully forecast for dormant volcanoes using current monitoring data and knowledge of precursory eruptive patterns. The USAID-USGS Volcano Disaster Assistance Program (VDAP) utilizes seismic data over multiple eruption cycles and across volcano types to successfully forecast eruption size, style and onset times, a
Authors
Randall A. White, Wendy A. McCausland

3-D seismic tomographic study of Sinabung Volcano, Northern Sumatra, Indonesia, during the inter-eruptive period October 2010-July 2013

We estimated 3D P-wave velocity (Vp), S-wave velocity (Vs), and Vp/Vs tomographic structures in and around the Sinabung Volcano area, Northern Sumatra, Indonesia during the intereruptive period between October 2010 and July 2013 using high-quality P- and S-wave phases from > 600 local volcano tectonic (VT) earthquakes and more than 5000 phase picks. We used the iteritive damped-least-squares metho
Authors
Novianti Indrastuti, Andri Dian Nugraha, Wendy A. McCausland, Mohammad Hendrasto, Hendra Gunawan, Ridwan Kusnandar, K. Kasbani, Kristianto

Overview of the eruptions of Sinabung Volcano, 2010 and 2013-present, and details of the 2013 phreatomagmatic phase

A small phreatic eruption of Sinabung Volcano, North Sumatra on August 28, 2010, at 18:30 local time marked the first eruption in the past ~1200 years. The eruption took place from two small vents in the south crater area. Explosions and ash emissions from these vents generated multiple ash plumes that reached altitudes of up to 5 km during early- to mid-September. By the end of September, only lo
Authors
Hendra Gunawan, Surono, Agus Budianto, Kristianto, Oktory Prambada, Wendy A. McCausland, John S. Pallister, Masato Iguchi

Hydrothermal fluid migration due to interaction with shallow magma: Insights from gravity changes before and after the 2015 eruption of Cotopaxi volcano, Ecuador

On August 14, 2015 Cotopaxi Volcano (Ecuador) erupted with several phreatomagmatic explosions after nearly 135 years of quiescence. Unrest began in April 2015 with an increase in the number of daily seismic events and inflation of the flanks of the volcano. Time-lapse gravity measurements started at Cotopaxi volcano in June 2015. Although minor gravity changes were detected prior to eruptive acti
Authors
Antonina Calahorrano-Di Patre, Glyn William-Jones, Maurizio Battaglia, Patricia Mothes, Elizabeth Gaunt, Jeffrey Zurek, Mario Ruiz, Jeffery Witter

Interferometric synthetic aperture radar study of recent eruptive activity at Shrub mud volcano, Alaska

Shrub mud volcano is one of three large mud volcanoes that comprise the Klawasi Group in the Copper River Basin of southcentral Alaska. Except for minor discharges in the mid-1950s when the group was first described, Shrub was dormant prior to its reactivation in summer 1996. From 1997 to 1999, Shrub vigorously erupted more than 5 x 105 cubic meters of saline mud and carbon dioxide-rich gas at tem
Authors
Yufen Niu, Daniel Dzurisin, Zhong Lu

Understanding melt evolution and eruption dynamics of the 1666 C.E. eruption of Cinder Cone, Lassen Volcanic National Park, California: Insights from olivine-hosted melt inclusions

Cinder Cone is the youngest scoria cone volcano in the continental United States. Erupted in 1666 C.E. within what is now Lassen Volcanic National Park, Cinder Cone is an un-vegetated scoria cone with well-preserved lava flows and tephra deposits that display complex geochemical variability. In this study, we utilize the volatile (H2O, CO2, Cl), major, and trace element chemistry of olivine-hosted
Authors
Kristina J Walowski, P.J. Wallace, K.V. Cashman, J.K. Marks, Michael A. Clynne, P. Ruprecht

Laboratory experiments of volcanic ash resuspension by wind

Fresh volcanic eruption deposits tend to be loose, bare, and readily resuspended by wind. Major resuspension events in Patagonia, Iceland, and Alaska have lofted ash clouds with potential to impact aircraft, infrastructure, and downwind communities. However, poor constraints on this resuspension process limit our ability to model this phenomenon. Here, we present laboratory experiments measuring t
Authors
Vicken Etyemezian, Jack Gillies, Larry G. Mastin, Alice Crawford, Robert Hasson, Alexa R. Van Eaton, G. Nikolich

Topographic changes during the 2018 Kīlauea eruption from Single-pass Airborne InSAR

The 2018 eruption of Kīlauea volcano, Hawai‘i, was its most effusive in over 200 years. We apply the airborne Glacier and Ice Surface Topography Interferometer (GLISTIN‐A) interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) instrument to measure topographic change associated with the eruption. The GLISTIN‐A radar flew in response to the eruption, acquiring observations of Kīlauea on seven days betwee
Authors
Paul R Lundgren, Marco Bagnardi, Hannah R. Dietterich

Catalog of earthquake parameters and description of seismograph and infrasound stations at Alaskan volcanoes—January 1, 2013, through December 31, 2017

Between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) located a total of 28,172 earthquakes at volcanoes in Alaska. The annual totals are 3,840, 5,819, 5,297, 6,151, and 7,065 earthquakes for the years 2013 through 2017, respectively. This represents an average of 5,634 earthquakes per year, which is comparable to the yearly number of earthquakes AVO located in the p
Authors
James P. Dixon, Scott D. Stihler, Matthew M. Haney, John J. Lyons, Dane M. Ketner, Katherine M. Mulliken, Thomas Parker, John Power

Interseismic quiescence and triggered slip of active normal faults of Kīlauea Volcano’s south flank during 2001-2018

The mobile south flank of Kīlauea Volcano hosts two normal fault systems, the Koa'e fault system (KFS) and the Hilina fault system (HFS). In historical time, at least three M>6.5 earthquakes have occurred on the basal detachment of the Kīlauea Volcano's south flank, with the most recent being the 4 May 2018 M6.9 earthquake. Here we analyze kinematic Global Positioning System data collected from 20
Authors
Kang Wang, Hayden MacArthur, Ingrid Johanson, Emily Montgomery-Brown, Michael P. Poland, Eric Cannon, Matthew d'Alessio, Roland Bürgmann

Physicochemical models of effusive rhyolitic eruptions constrained with InSAR and DEM data: A case study of the 2011-2012 Cordon Caulle eruption

The 9 month long 2011-2012 eruption of Cordon Caulle (Southern Andes, Chile) is the best instrumentally recorded rhyolitic eruption to date and the first time that the effusion of a rhyolitic flow has been observed in detail. We use Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), with time-lapse DEMs and numerical models to study the dynamics of coupled magma reservoir deflation and lava effusio
Authors
Francisco Delgado, Julia Kubanek, Kyle R. Anderson, Paul Lundgren, Matthew E. Pritchard