Anne C. Tillery
Program Officer, New Mexico Water Science Center
Anne Tillery has been a hydrologist in the Investigations section of the New Mexico Water Science Center since 2007. She holds a Master of Science in Earth and Planetary Science and a Bachelor of Science in Geology. She has 15 years of experience in surface water and geomorphic processes of the southwest. Her research focuses on the hydrology, hydraulics, and geomorphology of flooding in desert ephemeral channels and of debris flows following wildfires. She is currently the project chief for the Flood Analysis program in New Mexico. She conducts pre- and post- wildfire debris flow hazards assessments and documents postwildfire flooding and debris flows around New Mexico. Ms. Tillery has published studies related to postwildfire flooding and erosion, desert ephemeral-channel flow, and Holocene climate change impacts on desert geomorphology in addition to maps of stream networks and ground water levels.
Professional Experience
2007 - present: Hydrologist, U.S. Geological Survey, New Mexico Water Science Center
2006 - 2007: Senior Staff Geologist, William Lettis and Associates, Walnut Creek, CA
2003 - 2006: Geologist, URS Corporation, Albuquerque NM
1996 - 1999: Hydrologic technician, U.S. Geological Survey, Tempe Field Office, AZ
Education and Certifications
M.S. Earth and Planetary Science: University of New Mexico, May 2003
B.S. Geology: Arizona State University, May 1999, Magma Cum Laude
B.M. Instrumental Music: Arizona State University, May 1991, Cu
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 24
Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States
Early warning of post-fire debris-flow occurrence during intense rainfall has traditionally relied upon a library of regionally specific empirical rainfall intensity–duration thresholds. Development of this library and the calculation of rainfall intensity-duration thresholds often require several years of monitoring local rainfall and hydrologic response to rainstorms, a time-consuming...
Authors
Dennis M. Staley, Jacquelyn Negri, Jason W. Kean, Jayme L. Laber, Anne C. Tillery, Ann M. Youberg
Capturing spatiotemporal variation in wildfires for improving postwildfire debris-flow hazard assessments
Wildfires can increase the frequency and magnitude of catastrophic debris flows. Integrated, proactive natural hazard assessment would therefore characterize landscapes based on the potential for the occurrence and interactions of wildfires and postwildfire debris flows. This chapter presents a new modeling effort that can quantify the variability surrounding a key input to postwildfire...
Authors
Jessica R. Haas, Matthew P. Thompson, Anne C. Tillery, Joe H. Scott
Potential postwildfire debris-flow hazards—A prewildfire evaluation for the Jemez Mountains, north-central New Mexico
Wildfire can substantially increase the probability of debris flows, a potentially hazardous and destructive form of mass wasting, in landscapes that have otherwise been stable throughout recent history. Although the exact location, extent, and severity of wildfire or subsequent rainfall intensity and duration cannot be known, probabilities of fire and debris‑flow occurrence for given...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Jessica R. Haas
Updated logistic regression equations for the calculation of post-fire debris-flow likelihood in the western United States
Wildfire can significantly alter the hydrologic response of a watershed to the extent that even modest rainstorms can generate dangerous flash floods and debris flows. To reduce public exposure to hazard, the U.S. Geological Survey produces post-fire debris-flow hazard assessments for select fires in the western United States. We use publicly available geospatial data describing basin...
Authors
Dennis M. Staley, Jacquelyn Negri, Jason W. Kean, Jayme L. Laber, Anne C. Tillery, Ann M. Youberg
Potential postwildfire debris-flow hazards: a prewildfire evaluation for the Sandia and Manzano Mountains and surrounding areas, central New Mexico
Wildfire can drastically increase the probability of debris flows, a potentially hazardous and destructive form of mass wasting, in landscapes that have otherwise been stable throughout recent history. Although there is no way to know the exact location, extent, and severity of wildfire, or the subsequent rainfall intensity and duration before it happens, probabilities of fire and debris...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Jessica R. Haas, Lara W. Miller, Joe H. Scott, Matthew P. Thompson
Postwildfire debris-flow hazard assessment of the area burned by the 2012 Little Bear Fire, south-central New Mexico
A preliminary hazard assessment was developed of the debris-flow potential from 56 drainage basins burned by the Little Bear Fire in south-central New Mexico in June 2012. The Little Bear Fire burned approximately 179 square kilometers (km2) (44,330 acres), including about 143 km2 (35,300 acres) of National Forest System lands of the Lincoln National Forest. Within the Lincoln National...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Anne Marie Matherne
Estimated probability of postwildfire debris flows in the 2012 Whitewater-Baldy Fire burn area, southwestern New Mexico
In May and June 2012, the Whitewater-Baldy Fire burned approximately 1,200 square kilometers (300,000 acres) of the Gila National Forest, in southwestern New Mexico. The burned landscape is now at risk of damage from postwildfire erosion, such as that caused by debris flows and flash floods. This report presents a preliminary hazard assessment of the debris-flow potential from 128 basins...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Anne Marie Matherne, Kristine L. Verdin
Survey of hydrologic models and hydrologic data needs for tracking flow in the Rio Grande, north-central New Mexico, 2010
The six Middle Rio Grande Pueblos have prior and paramount rights to deliveries of water from the Rio Grande for their use. When the pueblos or the Bureau of Indian Affairs Designated Engineer identifies a need for additional flow on the Rio Grande, the Designated Engineer is tasked with deciding the timing and amount of releases of prior and paramount water from storage at El Vado...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, John R. Eggleston
Postwildfire preliminary debris flow hazard assessment for the area burned by the 2011 Las Conchas Fire in north-central New Mexico
The Las Conchas Fire during the summer of 2011 was the largest in recorded history for the state of New Mexico, burning 634 square kilometers in the Jemez Mountains of north-central New Mexico. The burned landscape is now at risk of damage from postwildfire erosion, such as that caused by debris flows and flash floods. This report presents a preliminary hazard assessment of the debris...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Michael J. Darr, Susan H. Cannon, John A. Michael
Postwildfire debris flows hazard assessment for the area burned by the 2011 Track Fire, northeastern New Mexico and southeastern Colorado
In June 2011, the Track Fire burned 113 square kilometers in Colfax County, northeastern New Mexico, and Las Animas County, southeastern Colorado, including the upper watersheds of Chicorica and Raton Creeks. The burned landscape is now at risk of damage from postwildfire erosion, such as that caused by debris flows and flash floods. This report presents a preliminary hazard assessment...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Michael J. Darr, Susan H. Cannon, John A. Michael
Estimates of mean-annual streamflow and flow loss for ephemeral channels in the Salt Basin, southeastern New Mexico, 2009
No abstract available.
Authors
Anne C. Tillery
Potential errors associated with stage-discharge relations for selected streamflow-gaging stations, Maricopa County, Arizona
Potential errors were derived for individual discharge measurements and stage-discharge relations for 17 streamflow-gaging stations in Maricopa County. Information presented primarily consists of stage and discharge data that were used to develop the stage-discharge relations that were in effect for water year 1998. Accuracy of the discharge measurements directly relate to accuracy of...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Jeff V. Phillips, Joseph P. Capesius
Non-USGS Publications**
James J. Guilinger, Andrew B. Gray, Nicolas C. Barth, Brandon T. Fong, The Evolution of Sediment Sources Over a Sequence of Postfire Sediment‐Laden Flows Revealed Through Repeat High‐Resolution Change Detection, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 10.1029/2020JF005527, 125, 10, (2020).
Tillery, A.C., Sowers, J. M., and Pearce, S., 2006, Creek and Watershed Map of San Mateo and Vicinity, Oakland Museum of California, Oakland, CA, 1:25,800 scale.
Tillery, A., Fawcett, P., McFadden, L., Scuderi, L., and McAuliffe, J., 2003, Late Holocene behavior of small drainage basins on the Colorado Plateau: influences of Lithology, Basin Form and Climate Change, in Geology of the Zuni Plateau: New Mexico Geological Society, p. 197-207.
Fawcett, P., Tillery, A. and. Gutzler, D.S., 2001, Elevation dependence of the ENSO precipitation signal in the Southwest United States in Proceedings of the American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impact, p. 235-236.
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 24
Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States
Early warning of post-fire debris-flow occurrence during intense rainfall has traditionally relied upon a library of regionally specific empirical rainfall intensity–duration thresholds. Development of this library and the calculation of rainfall intensity-duration thresholds often require several years of monitoring local rainfall and hydrologic response to rainstorms, a time-consuming...
Authors
Dennis M. Staley, Jacquelyn Negri, Jason W. Kean, Jayme L. Laber, Anne C. Tillery, Ann M. Youberg
Capturing spatiotemporal variation in wildfires for improving postwildfire debris-flow hazard assessments
Wildfires can increase the frequency and magnitude of catastrophic debris flows. Integrated, proactive natural hazard assessment would therefore characterize landscapes based on the potential for the occurrence and interactions of wildfires and postwildfire debris flows. This chapter presents a new modeling effort that can quantify the variability surrounding a key input to postwildfire...
Authors
Jessica R. Haas, Matthew P. Thompson, Anne C. Tillery, Joe H. Scott
Potential postwildfire debris-flow hazards—A prewildfire evaluation for the Jemez Mountains, north-central New Mexico
Wildfire can substantially increase the probability of debris flows, a potentially hazardous and destructive form of mass wasting, in landscapes that have otherwise been stable throughout recent history. Although the exact location, extent, and severity of wildfire or subsequent rainfall intensity and duration cannot be known, probabilities of fire and debris‑flow occurrence for given...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Jessica R. Haas
Updated logistic regression equations for the calculation of post-fire debris-flow likelihood in the western United States
Wildfire can significantly alter the hydrologic response of a watershed to the extent that even modest rainstorms can generate dangerous flash floods and debris flows. To reduce public exposure to hazard, the U.S. Geological Survey produces post-fire debris-flow hazard assessments for select fires in the western United States. We use publicly available geospatial data describing basin...
Authors
Dennis M. Staley, Jacquelyn Negri, Jason W. Kean, Jayme L. Laber, Anne C. Tillery, Ann M. Youberg
Potential postwildfire debris-flow hazards: a prewildfire evaluation for the Sandia and Manzano Mountains and surrounding areas, central New Mexico
Wildfire can drastically increase the probability of debris flows, a potentially hazardous and destructive form of mass wasting, in landscapes that have otherwise been stable throughout recent history. Although there is no way to know the exact location, extent, and severity of wildfire, or the subsequent rainfall intensity and duration before it happens, probabilities of fire and debris...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Jessica R. Haas, Lara W. Miller, Joe H. Scott, Matthew P. Thompson
Postwildfire debris-flow hazard assessment of the area burned by the 2012 Little Bear Fire, south-central New Mexico
A preliminary hazard assessment was developed of the debris-flow potential from 56 drainage basins burned by the Little Bear Fire in south-central New Mexico in June 2012. The Little Bear Fire burned approximately 179 square kilometers (km2) (44,330 acres), including about 143 km2 (35,300 acres) of National Forest System lands of the Lincoln National Forest. Within the Lincoln National...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Anne Marie Matherne
Estimated probability of postwildfire debris flows in the 2012 Whitewater-Baldy Fire burn area, southwestern New Mexico
In May and June 2012, the Whitewater-Baldy Fire burned approximately 1,200 square kilometers (300,000 acres) of the Gila National Forest, in southwestern New Mexico. The burned landscape is now at risk of damage from postwildfire erosion, such as that caused by debris flows and flash floods. This report presents a preliminary hazard assessment of the debris-flow potential from 128 basins...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Anne Marie Matherne, Kristine L. Verdin
Survey of hydrologic models and hydrologic data needs for tracking flow in the Rio Grande, north-central New Mexico, 2010
The six Middle Rio Grande Pueblos have prior and paramount rights to deliveries of water from the Rio Grande for their use. When the pueblos or the Bureau of Indian Affairs Designated Engineer identifies a need for additional flow on the Rio Grande, the Designated Engineer is tasked with deciding the timing and amount of releases of prior and paramount water from storage at El Vado...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, John R. Eggleston
Postwildfire preliminary debris flow hazard assessment for the area burned by the 2011 Las Conchas Fire in north-central New Mexico
The Las Conchas Fire during the summer of 2011 was the largest in recorded history for the state of New Mexico, burning 634 square kilometers in the Jemez Mountains of north-central New Mexico. The burned landscape is now at risk of damage from postwildfire erosion, such as that caused by debris flows and flash floods. This report presents a preliminary hazard assessment of the debris...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Michael J. Darr, Susan H. Cannon, John A. Michael
Postwildfire debris flows hazard assessment for the area burned by the 2011 Track Fire, northeastern New Mexico and southeastern Colorado
In June 2011, the Track Fire burned 113 square kilometers in Colfax County, northeastern New Mexico, and Las Animas County, southeastern Colorado, including the upper watersheds of Chicorica and Raton Creeks. The burned landscape is now at risk of damage from postwildfire erosion, such as that caused by debris flows and flash floods. This report presents a preliminary hazard assessment...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Michael J. Darr, Susan H. Cannon, John A. Michael
Estimates of mean-annual streamflow and flow loss for ephemeral channels in the Salt Basin, southeastern New Mexico, 2009
No abstract available.
Authors
Anne C. Tillery
Potential errors associated with stage-discharge relations for selected streamflow-gaging stations, Maricopa County, Arizona
Potential errors were derived for individual discharge measurements and stage-discharge relations for 17 streamflow-gaging stations in Maricopa County. Information presented primarily consists of stage and discharge data that were used to develop the stage-discharge relations that were in effect for water year 1998. Accuracy of the discharge measurements directly relate to accuracy of...
Authors
Anne C. Tillery, Jeff V. Phillips, Joseph P. Capesius
Non-USGS Publications**
James J. Guilinger, Andrew B. Gray, Nicolas C. Barth, Brandon T. Fong, The Evolution of Sediment Sources Over a Sequence of Postfire Sediment‐Laden Flows Revealed Through Repeat High‐Resolution Change Detection, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 10.1029/2020JF005527, 125, 10, (2020).
Tillery, A.C., Sowers, J. M., and Pearce, S., 2006, Creek and Watershed Map of San Mateo and Vicinity, Oakland Museum of California, Oakland, CA, 1:25,800 scale.
Tillery, A., Fawcett, P., McFadden, L., Scuderi, L., and McAuliffe, J., 2003, Late Holocene behavior of small drainage basins on the Colorado Plateau: influences of Lithology, Basin Form and Climate Change, in Geology of the Zuni Plateau: New Mexico Geological Society, p. 197-207.
Fawcett, P., Tillery, A. and. Gutzler, D.S., 2001, Elevation dependence of the ENSO precipitation signal in the Southwest United States in Proceedings of the American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans, and Societal Impact, p. 235-236.
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.